I've been mulling an idea over the last couple of days concerning new titles and how long they last in today's market. After all, for every title like Magog (which just about everyone on the internet saw getting cancelled within a year), there's a title like Nova or Booster Gold which pleasantly exceeds expectations. As a person who always seems to pick up the titles that last 2 years or less (see Captain Britain and MI13, Doctor Voodoo, etc.), I thought it would be fun to come up with over/unders for new (and newish) titles and see how well they hold up in real life.
But what's the point of coming up with arbitrary statistics designed for gambling if there's not a little fun attached? So here's my proposal/challenge: I have a list of about two dozen titles that I'm currently researching to try and figure out exactly how long they'll last. After I post the list, posters who want to play will simply take the list and decide if they think that the titles will last longer or shorter than the issue numbers that I've assigned for it.
Scoring works as followed: For every incorrect answer, the contestant receives no points. For every correct answer, they get 5 points. If a poster believes that an issue will end exactly when I predict, then they'll get 8 points. In addition, participants can choose to make their own prediction. If their prediction is correct, then they'll receive 12 points for being spot on! First person to score 75 points wins.
I even have an awesome prize lined up...namely one currently sold trade of their choice (up to $50) sent to their home along with bragging rights. Basically, as long as I can order it through my bookstore, I'll send it along with my compliments to the winner.
So let me know if this sounds like a cool idea or not. As long as people are willing to play, I'm game for setting this up and running it.